Desenzano Calvina vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DES
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DES
2 - 3
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAS
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
CAL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAL
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
OLG
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |