Desenzano Calvina vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
DES
58%
20%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
DES
3 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
USB
3 - 1
DES
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
CRE
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
DES
31%
22%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAL
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
USB
29%
23%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
NIB
0 - 1
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |