Desenzano Calvina vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
DES
57%
21%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DES
5 - 2
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
DES
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DES
1 - 3
CAS
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VCB
0 - 1
DES
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 1
SAN
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CRE
0 - 0
SCA
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BAG
2 - 2
CRE
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |