Desenzano Calvina vs Caldiero Terme analysis

Desenzano Calvina Caldiero Terme
43 ELO 43
-5.6% Tilt -6.4%
3128º General ELO ranking 4251º
101º Country ELO ranking 142º
ELO win probability
49%
Desenzano Calvina
24.7%
Draw
26.3%
Caldiero Terme

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Desenzano Calvina
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
Caldiero Terme
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Desenzano Calvina
-19%
-7%
Caldiero Terme

Points and table prediction

Desenzano Calvina
Their league position
Caldiero Terme
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
12º
77
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caldiero Terme
77
77
100%
Piacenza
74
74
100%
 Pro Palazzolo
73
73
100%
Desenzano Calvina
70
70
100%
Varesina
68
68
100%
Arconatese
68
68
100%
Calcio Brusaporto
54
54
100%
Villa Valle
53
53
100%
AC Chievo Verona
53
53
100%
Casatese
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Folgore Caratese
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Club Milano
12º
45
45
12º
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Caravaggio
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Real Calepina
15º
42
42
15º
100%
AC Legnano
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Castellanzese
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Crema
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Tritium
19º
29
29
19º
100%
US Ponte San Pietro
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Desenzano Calvina
Caldiero Terme
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Desenzano Calvina
Caldiero Terme
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Desenzano Calvina
Desenzano Calvina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
MIL
Club Milano
1 - 1
Desenzano Calvina
DES
8%
14%
78%
44 11 33 0
20 Sep. 2023
DES
Desenzano Calvina
2 - 3
Crema
CRE
63%
22%
16%
45 37 8 -1
17 Sep. 2023
FCC
AC Chievo Verona
1 - 2
Desenzano Calvina
DES
8%
14%
78%
44 13 31 +1
10 Sep. 2023
DES
Desenzano Calvina
2 - 1
 Pro Palazzolo
PAL
86%
10%
4%
44 16 28 0
03 Sep. 2023
DES
Desenzano Calvina
1 - 0
Crema
CRE
57%
23%
21%
44 38 6 0

Matches

Caldiero Terme
Caldiero Terme
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
CAL
Caldiero Terme
2 - 0
Tritium
TRI
73%
17%
10%
41 28 13 0
20 Sep. 2023
CAR
Caravaggio
2 - 3
Caldiero Terme
CAL
22%
23%
55%
41 30 11 0
16 Sep. 2023
CAL
Caldiero Terme
1 - 0
Casatese
CAS
25%
27%
47%
39 48 9 +2
10 Sep. 2023
FOL
Folgore Caratese
2 - 1
Caldiero Terme
CAL
37%
25%
39%
40 37 3 -1
03 Sep. 2023
MON
Montecchio Maggiore
4 - 2
Caldiero Terme
CAL
29%
22%
49%
41 34 7 -1