Desenzano Calvina vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
DES
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
DES
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
CAL
57%
21%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
OLG
0 - 1
DES
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
ARC
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 1
SON
51%
21%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 4
ARC
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 1
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |