Desenzano Calvina vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SON
1 - 2
DES
37%
23%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
DES
39%
23%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
VCB
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ARC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
DES
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ADR
1 - 5
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
USP
2 - 2
ADR
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 2
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USB
5 - 1
ADR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ADR
5 - 2
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |