Desenzano Calvina vs AC Leon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
DES
4 - 1
NOV
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
DES
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
DES
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
OLG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
USB
0 - 0
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Leon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
LEO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 3
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
LEO
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 4
ADR
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
VCB
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |