Desenzano Calvina vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
DES
67%
17%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
SAN
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USP
0 - 1
DES
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLG
3 - 4
UNI
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 4
USB
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -2 |