Como U19 vs Brescia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
4º
14º
6º
38
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 2
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COM
2 - 4
CRE
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
COM
2 - 4
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 1
FER
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
SUD
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ABL
1 - 2
BRE
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
REG
1 - 2
BRE
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
CIT
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |