Calcinato vs Dak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SZE
0 - 0
CAL
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ROD
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
CAL
35%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
VOB
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DAK
0 - 0
BED
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
GOV
0 - 0
DAK
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DAK
1 - 1
VER
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GUS
2 - 1
DAK
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |