Calavera vs Guadalcanal C.D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
CAL
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 3
CON
77%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CDA
1 - 0
CAL
42%
22%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
6 - 0
ALC
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 1
CAL
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalcanal C.D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
UBB
7 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
PRI
67%
18%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
5 - 1
GUA
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 2
PEÑ
32%
22%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NAV
2 - 1
GUA
24%
19%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |