Calavera vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
REC
5 - 1
CAL
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
CAL
1 - 1
RJA
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
EME
1 - 0
CAL
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
CAL
4 - 2
EGA
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
COR
4 - 0
CAL
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
CDB
2 - 1
LUC
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
MER
3 - 0
LUC
70%
16%
15%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
LUC
0 - 3
REC
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
RJA
5 - 0
LUC
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LUC
2 - 2
EME
71%
16%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |