Calavera vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
LCF
3 - 2
CAL
83%
10%
7%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
COR
2 - 0
CAL
80%
12%
9%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAL
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
REC
6 - 1
CAL
93%
5%
2%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
CAL
0 - 1
ANT
53%
20%
27%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
SFE
2 - 1
BAL
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
REC
7 - 1
SFE
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SFE
2 - 2
ANT
71%
15%
14%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
CAD
2 - 0
SFE
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SFE
0 - 2
MEL
49%
20%
31%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |