Calavera vs Union Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+173%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
5 - 2
TAB
64%
18%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIS
2 - 1
CAL
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
UBB
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATC
0 - 0
CAL
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UGR
8 - 2
CDA
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 1
UGR
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CJA
2 - 3
UGR
56%
20%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UGR
2 - 2
TOR
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 1
UGR
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |