Calasparra vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PIN
4 - 3
CAL
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 2
PUT
53%
24%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CCS
6 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
JUM
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |