Calasparra vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
25%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
PUL
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 3
LHO
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 0
PLU
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PLU
1 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 3
PLU
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PLU
1 - 2
PUT
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CCS
3 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |