Calasparra vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
63.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
IND
1 - 0
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAZ
33%
25%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PIN
2 - 1
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CAL
0 - 4
JUM
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
5 - 1
OLI
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
UCA
0 - 1
LOR
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
69%
17%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
IND
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAZ
1 - 2
LOR
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |