Calasparra vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EFA
3 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
UDL
60%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 2
CAL
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAP
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
PIN
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 1
LOR
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CIE
5 - 4
ALC
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 3
ALC
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
BAL
16%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |