Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BAÑ
2 - 1
CAL
48%
24%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
BAL
29%
24%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 1
CAL
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
SDS
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAX
0 - 2
CAL
38%
25%
38%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
CDA
66%
17%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RBF
4 - 4
VIL
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAÑ
3 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALD
2 - 4
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |