Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 0
CAL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 1
NAX
20%
25%
55%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
CLH
4 - 1
CAL
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 3
ALF
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
VIA
0 - 0
CAL
29%
24%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEN
47%
24%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VIL
0 - 1
HAR
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
NAX
4 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
CLH
14%
21%
65%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ALF
4 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |