Calasancio vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SMC
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
PRA
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VIA
0 - 2
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NAX
3 - 0
CAL
75%
17%
8%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 0
ALF
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AGO
2 - 1
ALF
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALF
3 - 0
CEN
88%
10%
3%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |