Calasancio vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BER
1 - 2
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 2
ALF
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SMC
2 - 2
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
PRA
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
VIA
0 - 2
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 0
RIV
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 1
ALD
82%
13%
6%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ALD
2 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
AGO
3 - 1
ALD
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 0
CEN
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |