Calasancio B vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDS
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
OYO
2 - 2
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 1
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 4
PRA
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
3 - 2
RAP
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 2
VIA
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AUT
0 - 2
RAP
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 4
ALF
10%
20%
70%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |