Calasancio B vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
3 - 0
CAL
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAV
39%
24%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAS
11%
18%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 0
CAL
71%
18%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
BAÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
SDO
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAX
2 - 2
CFC
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CFC
3 - 0
CDT
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
CFC
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CFC
3 - 2
CAV
81%
13%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |