Calamonte vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
CAL
74%
17%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CPC
3 - 1
CAL
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
AZU
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PLA
2 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
PUE
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 4
MAD
10%
20%
71%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAD
5 - 0
EMD
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAD
11%
21%
69%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
MAD
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |