Calamonte vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
EMD
3 - 1
CAL
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
JER
55%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 0
CAL
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
REC
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 0
COR
19%
24%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
ARR
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 0
CPC
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MIA
2 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARR
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |