Calamonte vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAL
21%
22%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 3
OLI
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMA
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAL
18%
21%
62%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 0
ARR
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 2
DBN
22%
27%
51%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 4
PLA
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 2
ARR
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |