Calamocha vs SD Borja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CFH
2 - 2
CAL
44%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAL
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDM
0 - 1
CAL
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
CFB
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SD Borja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SDB
4 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 1
SDB
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SDB
4 - 0
CDM
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 1
SDB
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SDB
2 - 0
BEL
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |