Calamocha vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
CUA
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TAR
5 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 3
SDB
30%
27%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TER
4 - 0
CAL
86%
11%
3%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
BIN
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ZAR
4 - 1
CFA
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CFV
3 - 3
ZAR
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ICF
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SJU
2 - 1
ZAR
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CUA
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |