Calamocha vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LAA
3 - 0
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 4
UNI
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAR
3 - 2
CAL
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
SAA
3 - 2
CAL
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAL
4 - 1
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UDM
0 - 0
GAR
43%
24%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
UDM
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 2
UDM
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 0
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
UDC
2 - 0
UDM
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |