Calamocha vs Fuentes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 0
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
MAL
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
CFV
47%
26%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UDS
0 - 4
CAL
57%
22%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 0
FUE
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 0
CFV
51%
25%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CDU
0 - 0
FUE
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PED
0 - 3
FUE
8%
17%
75%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |