Calamocha vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
UDC
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LAA
2 - 1
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
FUE
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATC
1 - 0
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDC
2 - 2
CDM
55%
24%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDM
4 - 3
FUE
31%
25%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAL
2 - 2
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 1
CFV
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDU
3 - 0
CDM
57%
24%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |