Calamocha vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 1
CFB
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
BEL
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ACF
0 - 1
CAL
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ATC
0 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 1
LAA
27%
23%
51%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
UDC
1 - 2
CDM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAG
0 - 1
CDM
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDM
2 - 2
CEL
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CDM
4 - 2
ATL
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |