Calais vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 2
TRO
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CAL
5 - 0
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
SPI
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SPI
2 - 1
AUX
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
SPI
2 - 0
SCH
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
COM
4 - 1
SPI
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
SPI
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |