Calais vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 2
CAL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
REI
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAL
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESW
71%
19%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAL
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROY
2 - 1
DOU
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SED
2 - 0
ROY
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ROY
4 - 0
MEZ
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 1
ROY
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 2
ROY
49%
27%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |