Calais vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 0
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
GRA
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
SAI
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 2
BAS
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 0
QUE
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
NOI
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |