Calais vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIL
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1999 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NÎM
3 - 3
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 2
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |