Calais vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
POI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
IRI
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DRA
1 - 2
CAL
59%
25%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 3
LEN
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
10%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLE
2 - 1
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FLE
1 - 0
DIE
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLE
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FLE
4 - 1
ESW
66%
22%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 0
FLE
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |