Calais vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
CAL
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 1
ROD
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
NIO
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAL
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ETG
3 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
ETG
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ETG
3 - 2
LUS
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
3 - 0
ETG
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ETG
1 - 1
FCG
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |