Calais vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 1
CAL
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 1
CAL
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
FCG
0 - 0
CAL
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CAL
0 - 2
ARL
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
STL
1 - 0
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
NIO
3 - 0
ETG
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 0
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 0
ROD
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
NIO
1 - 2
USB
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |