Calais vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
NOI
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAL
30%
28%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 0
AMI
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
3 - 1
QUE
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 1
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
NOI
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
BAS
23%
24%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |