Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SML
2 - 1
CAL
70%
20%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
VCH
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 3
CAL
64%
21%
14%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 3
ESW
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
DIE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
6 - 1
DIE
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
FLE
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 1
POI
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
2 - 2
ARR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |