Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
IRI
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 0
CAL
47%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAL
3 - 1
ESW
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
ARR
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 4
PSG
11%
24%
66%
|
39 | 90 | 51 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESW
0 - 3
ARR
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
ANG
12%
23%
66%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +1 |