Calais vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
SED
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 1
CAL
17%
25%
58%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 2
CAL
25%
28%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
REI
1 - 1
CAL
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAL
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 0
DOU
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
ESW
45%
28%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MEZ
2 - 6
ARR
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SED
1 - 1
ARR
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
2 - 1
CHA
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |