Calafell vs Costa Daurada A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
60%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+310%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calafell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
6 - 1
CAL
77%
13%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 4
NSA
15%
18%
67%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
CAL
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SJD
4 - 1
CAL
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 2
RIU
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Costa Daurada A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COS
1 - 2
NSA
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 1
COS
57%
19%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COS
4 - 2
SJD
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 4
COS
45%
22%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COS
3 - 3
RIE
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |