Calaceite vs Mazaleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calaceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 4
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 4
ACF
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
SAS
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAL
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAL
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mazaleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAZ
2 - 2
PRO
27%
22%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
5 - 0
MAZ
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAZ
0 - 2
CAS
44%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
5 - 1
MAZ
65%
17%
18%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MAZ
2 - 4
MAE
5%
10%
85%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |