Cailungo vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
14º
15º
57
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 1
CAI
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
2 - 1
PEN
19%
25%
56%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUV
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 0
DOM
28%
25%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CAI
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
TPE
20%
24%
57%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
COS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |