Cailungo vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
CAI
1 - 2
DOM
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 2
CAI
31%
26%
44%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CAI
4 - 2
FIO
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SGI
1 - 1
VIR
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
LIB
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
FOL
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 0
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |