Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAI
20%
25%
55%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
TPE
3 - 2
CAI
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 2
CAI
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CAI
5 - 0
SGI
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 3
JUV
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
ZEL
4 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 5
ZEL
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 3
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |