Cailungo vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
65.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
COS
9 - 0
CAI
86%
11%
3%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 2
SMA
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TPE
4 - 0
CAI
89%
9%
3%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
SGI
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
MUR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 0
MUR
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |